Pashinyan’s geopolitical scheme is doomed

A recent interview with Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev clearly demonstrated that Nikol Pashinyan’s foreign policy has failed, and official Baku and Ankara are preparing for war against Armenia. Under the circumstances, it was obvious that the Armenian authorities had to take steps aimed at promptly correcting the situation.

Due to “anti-Russian inertia” and his true geopolitical preferences, Nikol Pashinyan, of course, managed to send Armenian Security Council Secretary Armen Grigoryan to Davos to participate in negotiations on the “Zelensky peace formula”. However, certain changes have already been made in Armenia’s agenda, signaling a number of processes within the power group.

Vocal Russophobes and members of the Civil Contract faction, Gagik Melkonyan and Andranik Kocharyan, said that Russian weapons had arrived in Armenia, sent under a previously signed contract with Russia.

After that, Andranik Kocharyan’s close friend and protege, Armenian Ambassador to Russia Vagharshak Harutyunyan met with Deputy Foreign Minister of Russia Mikhail Galuzin and discussed “the resumption of trilateral work as part of the normalization of Armenian-Azerbaijani relations,” which translated from diplomatic into a more understandable language means, having failed on the Western negotiating track, Pashinyan asks official Moscow to “revive” the negotiation format with the participation of Pashinyan, Putin and Aliyev.

On January 18, Secretary of Pashinyan’s faction in the National Assembly, Artur Hovhannisyan, announced that Armenia continues military cooperation with Russia.

Do not be surprised if soon, “in the best traditions of authoritarian Azerbaijan,” the authorities will turn off the “anti-Russian propaganda switch” inside the country. Don’t be surprised if Russian experts close to Nikol Pashinyan suddenly appear and tell us that “there is no alternative to Pashinyan in Armenia” and that “more people go to various gastrofests in Yerevan rather than opposition rallies.”

Moreover, do not be surprised if Pashinyan, in a moment of “fake pro-Russian ecstasy,” even agrees to send Armenian troops to Ukraine, for example, to protect Artemovsk (Bakhmut). Moreover, we had a similar experience in the past, when Pashinyan sent an Armenian military mission to Syria to appear “more Catholic than the Pope.”

Time will tell whether the official Kremlin will forge relations with Nikol Pashinyan—not with Armenia, but personally with Nikol Pashinyan, since Russia traditionally distinguished between the state and an individual who rose to power. However, a number of “symptoms” show that anti-Pashinyan sentiments by Russian officials are much stronger than they were in 2020 or 2021. Moreover, even the Russian Foreign Minister, who was previously more supportive, says that he does not see logic in Pashinyan’s latest statements.

In any case, Pashinyan’s policy, both earlier and now, is one big geopolitical scheme that has already cost us one Armenian statehood. It is also obvious that we are being dragged into a new scheme.

However, the members of Pashinyan’s team, who will be forced to pursue a policy directly opposite to the one they have served for the last 2 years, should not take any risks. After all, if the Kremlin “does not believe in tears,” it will wash away not only Pashinyan but also his entire team and all the “shadow actors.” It is more than obvious that if the members of the “Civil Contract” distance themselves from Nikol Pashinyan today, they will be able to get at least a minimal chance of political salvation. But this chance must be earned.

Will the members of the Civil Contract take advantage of this minimal chance? Fine. If not, it is their fault. Everyone chooses their own destiny….

Think about it…