At the moment, the signing of any agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan is unlikely — Benyamin Poghosyan

The signing of any agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan is unlikely, Senior Research Fellow at APRI Armenia Benyamin Poghosyan told Alpha News.

“At the moment, the signing of any agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan, be it in Baku, Vienna, Washington or anywhere else, is unlikely. It is obvious that Azerbaijan has a clear precondition that the Constitution of Armenia must be amended in order to sign any document. It is also known that the process of constitutional reform in Armenia began before 2020, then continued in January 2022, but in 2024 the process of adopting a so-called new Constitution began. It was decided that the draft of the new Constitution must be submitted by the end of 2026. This means that if Azerbaijan continues to insist that any document will be signed only after amendments to the Constitution, and if these changes meet the requirements of Azerbaijan, then this will happen in early 2027,” he said.

According to the analyst, Aliyev will do everything to demonstrate that COP29 is not only a climate conference but also a peace conference.

“We know what Azerbaijan is promoting, and there are also discussions about the need to sign some kind of declaration on the future principles of the peace treaty and thereby show that something has been signed. It is clear that Azerbaijan will want to use this for its PR purposes and show that the COP29 conference is not only a climate conference but also a peace conference. I am not sure that this will give anything to Armenia, but if this happens, then we will not be talking about signing a treaty but about the principles of some kind of declaration. We remember how many declarations were signed between Armenia and Azerbaijan—at least four with Russia’s mediation, and many other signatures were put during the meetings of Pashinyan, Michel and Aliyev,” Poghosyan concluded.