Azerbaijan wants to take control of Armenia piece by piece

Speaking with Alpha News, Russian political scientist Vasily Koltashov commented on the possibility of a new escalation of the conflict on the Armenian-Azerbaijani border.

“Escalation is possible because Azerbaijan employs a specific method to acquire the Armenian space. Simply put, a method of reducing Armenia, which, as I understand it, could result in its eventual eradication. This method, on the one hand, involves resolving the issue in the form of an endless peaceful dialogue and making additional demands, and on the other hand, through military pressure.

I do not know who initiates the gunfire or whether tensions among Armenian border guards are escalating or it is an order from Baku. However, it looks like there is such an instruction from Baku to shoot at the Armenians.

I believe that there is a lot of mutual hostility here, but Azerbaijan is a middleweight fighter, and Armenia is a lightweight boxer, and the big players are currently busy or supporting Azerbaijan. This applies, for example, to Turkey, although Turkey now also seems to be having an internal political imbalance. Azerbaijan, facing a persistent internal social crisis, which the authorities keep under control thanks to ongoing geopolitical successes, has the opportunity to gradually diminish Armenia’s territory. Therefore, a new armed conflict is indeed possible.

Moreover, it entirely depends on Baku’s decision. At any moment, the Azerbaijani government could say that they could not calm down the Armenian border guards that keep firing and they have no choice but to respond with artillery shells and bombs, and everything will begin,” Koltashov said.

According to the expert, Azerbaijan wants to take control of Armenia piece by piece.

“Azerbaijan wants to take control of Armenia piece by piece, reducing it geographically—a strategy that has already proven effective. Azerbaijan is a state with a strong national myth. They are guided by this national myth, the government in Baku relies heavily on it,” Koltashov concluded.