Is Armenia already using the ‘historical window of opportunity’ opened by Turkey and Azerbaijan?

In October 2022, Russian President Vladimir Putin issued decrees on accepting the Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR), Lugansk People’s Republic (LPR), Zaporozhye, and Kherson regions into Russia. At the same time, the Constitutional Court of the Russian Federation recognized the international treaties on accepting the above-mentioned territories into Russia as consistent with the Constitution. The State Duma also ratified the treaties and adopted laws on the entry of these regions into the Russian Federation on October 3, 2022.

And in 2014, Crimea and Russia reunited. Why am I saying this? Because according to the internal legislation of the Russian Federation, Crimea, DPR, LPR, Zaporozhye, and Kherson are the territories of Russia, and when Pashinyan in Munich declares that he “recognizes Ukraine within the borders of 1991,” it means he actually declares war on Russia, not recognizing its territorial integrity.

Many experts note that it would be more correct for Pashinyan to simply sidestep the question of the Ukrainian war, but this, apparently, contradicts agreements with the West. So, Pashinyan once again demonstrated that Armenia, under his leadership, is not just not an ally of Russia but rather a sympathizer of the camp that is fighting against Russia using Ukrainians in Ukraine today.

After the Munich Conference, another important episode occurred, which explains a lot of Nikol Pashinyan’s statements and Armenia’s domestic policy. After the Munich voyage, Ilham Aliyev visited Turkey, and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan announced a “historic window of opportunity” after Azerbaijan captured Artsakh. In his opinion, Armenia should evaluate this process. And here the question arises: has Nikol Pashinyan’s Armenia already not used this “window”? Has Pashinyan not shaken Turkey’s extended hand? Turkey, which is a member of NATO and, despite all the economic cooperation with Russia, is also fighting with Russia on the territory of Ukraine today.

To answer this question, we need to study more closely the internal political processes in Armenia.

In parallel with Pashinyan’s “Munich adventures”, another round of anti-Russian hysteria was gaining momentum in Armenia, and this time against Russian border guards. Moreover, those who committed acts that fall under the definition of a terrorist act in 2016 are going to hold a rally in front of the building of the Border Guard Department of Russia in Armenia.

The only one who has such synchronicity with Pashinyan is Aliyev…

The key point is that Russian border troops on the border with Turkey are the most important element in legitimizing the borders of modern Armenia. Not to understand this means not to realize the importance of the very fact of Armenia’s existence.
Let’s imagine a hypothetical situation: constitutional amendments have taken place in Armenia, Armenia has non-bloc status, which led to the withdrawal of the 102nd military base and border guards from Armenia, and “unexpectedly” Turkish troops clash with Kurdish armed formations near the borders of Armenia and Turkey, and part of the Kurdish militias flee to Armenia.

What will happen then? Turkey can announce the beginning of an “anti-terrorist operation” in Armenia and send its troops into the country to “destroy the Kurdish separatists.” Do you doubt that Turkey is capable of this? If so, then you are not familiar with the history of the Turkish quasi-state in northern Cyprus.

There is another logical question. What do Western partners and Turkey and Azerbaijan want to transport through Armenia? What is hindered by the presence of Russian border guards in Armenia? Against whom do Pashinyan’s partners intend to hold a rally, and against whom is rampant propaganda?

Nikol Pashinyan and his circles involved the country and the people in the process, which has nothing to do with the national or state interests of the Republic of Armenia. Armenia was put on the altar of a geopolitical clash between Russia and the West and Iran and the West.
Pashinyan uses this “historical window of opportunity”, but who is this window for—Armenia or Turkey and Azerbaijan? Or for the West, which, even at the cost of dissolving Armenia, is ready to “withdraw Russian troops from the region”?
Think about it….