The United States is also withdrawing from the Middle East—what about the South Caucasus?

Again and again, we have to state that Armenia does not exist in a vacuum. There are many processes going on around us that can have a direct impact on the stability and security of Armenia and the region as a whole.

While they are trying to impose an agenda of ethnic hatred on Armenian society (this time they are trying to divide Armenians according to the principle of “supporter or opponent of the Armenian Apostolic Church”), tectonic geopolitical shifts are taking place in the world. The United States is withdrawing from both the Middle East and Europe, doing so to concentrate forces on containing China in the Asia-Pacific region.

The day before, in an interview, US President Donald Trump commented on negotiations between Moscow and Kyiv, stating, “That’s the end of the progress.”

The strikes on Russian strategic aviation have given the United States a legitimate reason to minimize its involvement in the Ukrainian war—an opportunity Trump has readily seized.

Against the backdrop of active negotiations between Washington and Tehran over Iran’s nuclear program, the International Atomic Energy Agency’s (IAEA) Board of Governors unexpectedly adopted a resolution stating that Tehran is failing to fully meet its nuclear obligations.

Iranian Defense Minister Aziz Nasirzadeh also said that in the event of an armed conflict with the United States, Tehran would target all American military bases in the Middle East. In addition, Iran’s state media published the first batch of classified documents concerning Israel’s nuclear program, allegedly revealing that IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi closely coordinated his actions with Israel and followed its directives.

Would you agree that the IAEA resolution, along with Iran’s response, has provided Washington with excellent pretexts for withdrawing some of its troops from the Middle East?

The United States is withdrawing from both the Middle East and Ukraine. But what does this mean for Armenia and the South Caucasus?

Armenian Foreign Minister Ararat Mirzoyan, following a recent visit from US Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs Joshua Huck, reassured parliament during a preliminary budget discussion for 2024 that the US remains committed to its strategic partnership with Armenia, stating, “Nothing is changing, and we remain strategic partners.”

This means that the current US administration is allegedly committed to the Charter of Strategic Partnership between the Republic of Armenia and the United States of America, signed in January 2025.

The Armenian authorities continue to stubbornly ignore not only the geopolitical map but even the news feed. Back in February, US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth said that the United States could no longer ensure the security of Europe and intended to switch to containing China in the Asia-Pacific region.

The sooner the country acknowledges its geopolitical position and identity, the better its chances of preserving both its sovereignty and identity.

Think about it…