Turkey is in a hurry, Pashinyan is helping, and the United States stands to profit from Armenia
July 10 2025, 15:30
The parties are in a hurry—Turkey, the United States, Azerbaijan, and, most of all, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan. This rush is also the reason why the meeting between Pashinyan and Ilham Aliyev, which was announced for July 20, will take place tomorrow in Dubai.
Even without the Azerbaijani media’s “leaks” (notably, several outlets report that the visit of Donald Trump’s special envoy, Steve Witkoff, to Baku was crucial in coordinating the Aliyev-Pashinyan meeting), it was clear that one of the central topics of the negotiations between Pashinyan and Aliyev would be the issue of a corridor through Armenian territory.
Nevertheless, the parties are in a hurry. The United States and Turkey are objectively trying to speed up the process of signing a so-called peace agreement or some kind of document that can be presented as a peace agreement.
They need this for several reasons. For example, to reinforce Pashinyan’s leadership (as the leader of Armenia, he is beneficial to both the United States and Turkey, as well as to Azerbaijan). Washington particularly needs to accelerate the process to have a share in the so-called process of unblocking regional communications (incidentally, it is already more than obvious that the communications that will be opened through Armenian territory will be extraterritorial, meaning that they will not be controlled by Yerevan but by an independent Western company).
In the context of today’s news, it becomes clear that the recent Russian-Armenian and Russian-Azerbaijani “diplomatic escalation” was necessary for the parties to nullify any attempt by Russia to become part of the negotiation process.
Moscow is being excluded from regional processes. Iran is likewise being edged out. The South Caucasus is becoming a center of external control that is as hostile to Russia—mirroring the geopolitical dynamics of the Baltic states. Once again, it should be noted that this entire process is primarily directed against Russia and has nothing to do with the interests of Armenia, which will be forced to provide Turkey, Azerbaijan, and the United States with an extraterritorial corridor.
However, neither the United States nor Turkey will provide any security guarantees to Armenia. Pashinyan is making a “deal” for the sake of a piece of paper that he can present to the public as a “peace agreement.”
Think about it…