What do the Armenian authorities really need a “peace treaty” with Azerbaijan for?
January 11 2024, 12:37
If we were to make up the top ten most dangerous political statements of 2023, Nikol Pashinyan’s spring statement that “we all live in a place for which we do not have a “cadastral certificate” would definitely claim first place.
By “cadastral certificate” Pashinyan meant a “peace treaty” signed with Azerbaijan, according to which official Baku would recognize the Armenian territory as 29,800 square kilometers.
Let’s leave aside that Nikol Pashinyan actually indicated with such a dangerous statement that “the right of Armenians to exist within their state in the territory of the South Caucasus depends on a piece of paper that Ilham Aliyev must sign,” and focus on the “ideological” aspect of this narrative.
It has already been said that a number of narratives were destroyed in 2023.
On top of that, Pashinyan not only surrendered Artsakh but also managed to recognize the so-called enclaves controlled by Armenia as the “territory of Azerbaijan” in advance. However, there is still no peace treaty. Aliyev received Artsakh from Nikol Pashinyan without giving neither a peace treaty nor even a clear promise about this “cadastral piece of paper”.
Meanwhile, the government tried to deceive the citizens in 2023, propagandizing that the surrender of Artsakh is the right step, since after that there will be peace, an economic boom, and no “Zangezur corridor”.
The reality, however, is that Azerbaijan does not feel threatened by Armenia, and therefore it does not need a peace treaty. It does not fear that if a peace treaty is not signed between the countries, then “tomorrow” the Armenian armed forces will begin to storm Stepanakert, Barda, or the “Golden Bridge” in the Samur region of Azerbaijan.
In fact, it is Nikol Pashinyan who personally needs a peace treaty. An agreement, which, as the Armenian authorities themselves admitted, will not solve the problems with Azerbaijan.
Pashinyan himself would have used this “cadastral piece of paper” for domestic political purposes and would have tried to convince the Armenian public that in 2018, Azerbaijan was Armenia’s enemy, but as a result of his “wise policy”, it turned into an economic partner. But official Baku will not make such a gift to Pashinyan, even though Pashinyan himself is a historical and geopolitical gift for Turkiye and Azerbaijan.
Having surrendered Artsakh and discussed at the negotiations in Brussels the option under which Azerbaijan would actually receive a corridor through Armenia, Nikol Pashinyan turned into a “player without trump cards”, which put the entire population of Armenia at risk, which is what Aliyev uses today. And when Ararat Mirzoyan declares that he “sees setbacks in Azerbaijan’s proposals for a peace treaty,” let him first of all look for a problem in weakening Armenia, which remained without Artsakh.
There used to be Artsakh and more than 100 thousand Armenians who provided our rear. There is no such rear right now. Official Baku and Ankara do not even hide that they want “enclaves”, “reparations”, the “Zangezur corridor” and….both Syunik and Yerevan.
And if all this continues a little longer, then the Armenian citizens, just like the Artsakh Armenians, will become refugees, and Pashinyan, signing a document similar to the one signed by Samvel Shahramanyan on September 28, will say that by dissolving Armenia and making 3 million people refugees, he gave them the opportunity to live in “the most developed democracies in the world”, in countries that have already received their “cadastral certificate” decades ago….