What will Armenia do in the event of an attack on Iran?
April 03 2025, 19:00
US President Donald Trump has threatened Iran with “bombings the likes of which they have never seen before.” The Israeli TV channel Channel 14, in turn, has reported that a large-scale attack on Iran may begin in the near future. “An unprecedented strike is expected, the likes of which have not been seen since the Second World War,” the channel stated.
This information can be interpreted in various ways, including as an attempt to exert informational pressure on Iran to abandon its nuclear program. To understand this situation, one must consider the logic behind Trump and his administration’s actions.
When US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth declared that the United States could no longer ensure Europe’s security and intended to focus on containing China in the Asia-Pacific region, it became evident that a potential conflict with China over Taiwan had been prioritized in the secret national defense manual. It suggests that Washington needs to get rid of its “ballast” before getting involved in this conflict. Hence the desire to close the issue of the Ukrainian conflict as soon as possible. In addition, before leaving Europe and the Middle East, they need to ensure the security of their allies, or at least their main ally, Israel. That is why pressure is being exerted on Tehran.
From this perspective, it can be assumed that a strike on Iran is very likely. Then the question arises: how will Armenia behave in this situation? Will Pashinyan join the camp of those who will bomb Iran, escalate the situation around it, and support its allies, or will Yerevan remain neutral?
The question is important, and much depends on the answer. After the change of the presidential administration in the United States, Nikol Pashinyan has a need to fill the Armenian-American agenda with new content. Could this content be anti-Iranian? The answer was given back in 2018, when, after a meeting with John Bolton, Pashinyan announced the prospects of closing the Armenian-Iranian border.
In other words, Tehran should understand that in the event of an escalation, it will not be able to count on Armenia, led by Pashinyan.
Think about it.…