Will Russia, bypassing Yerevan and Baku, reach an agreement with the United States on Syunik communications?

Talks were held yesterday at the White House with the participation of U.S. President Donald Trump, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, and several European leaders. Unlike the February debacle, this time Zelensky avoided any altercation with Trump, instead emotionally responding to any jokes from the American president — even not really good ones. And a smiling Trump promised Ukraine security guarantees, however, from Europe, not from the United States.

The meeting at the White House is a direct continuation of the talks between Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska. That meeting marked a dramatic shift, signaling the collapse of the globalist narrative built since the start of the 2022 war: that Russia should be internationally isolated and that negotiations with Putin should only occur under the threat of force. What we are witnessing now is the emergence of a new security architecture in Europe, shaped by agreements between the presidents of Russia and the United States, and merely affirmed by European leaders, including Zelensky. It’s no coincidence that Trump recently stated that a decision on the territories of Ukraine “can only be made by President Zelensky and by the people of Ukraine, working also in agreement with President Putin.”

It should be understood that Trump is employing a classic diplomatic technique—aligning himself with the winning coalition during a pivotal moment in the war.
It is no coincidence that on the same day as his talks with Putin, Trump also called Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko, shattering the myth of Lukashenko’s “international isolation” overnight.

In such circumstances, it is impossible to exclude the possibility that Russia and the United States will try to coordinate their actions in other parts of greater Eurasia, particularly around key transport corridors. In this context, it would be logical to assume that at some point Putin and Trump will discuss the situation in the South Caucasus and South Caucasian communications. The specifics of the situation around communications through Syunik is that Moscow, bypassing Yerevan and Baku, can negotiate communications with Washington—much like what occurred with Ukraine and the EU.

Returning to the topic of Trump joining the coalition of winners, we note another important component of the South Caucasian realities: the conflict between Russia and Azerbaijan continues to escalate. On the night of August 19, Russian forces once again targeted infrastructure in Kremenchuk, Ukraine, used for processing Azerbaijani oil. Russia has every chance to emerge victorious from this conflict, and it is entirely expected that the United States will side with the winning party. What Nikol Pashinyan will do in this case, what his globalist backers will do, what Ilham Aliyev will do, what Masoud Pezeshkian will do — these are completely different questions.

Think about it…