In event of strike on Iran, instability will extend beyond republic – Vasily Ostanin-Golovnya

Speaking with Alpha News, expert in Oriental studies Vasily Ostanin-Golovnya commented on the situation surrounding Iran.

“The radical wing in Israel, which advocates for the most uncompromising approach, will not rest until the Islamic Republic’s nuclear program is completely dismantled—and ideally, until the current regime is overthrown. The United States is Israel’s primary ally here. Israel will not act independently, as it has other objectives—both ensuring security along its borders and disrupting the core of the ‘Axis of Resistance,’ that is, Iran, the founder of this project. It is currently impossible to predict whether strikes will be carried out, and if so, when: it could be in the near future, or perhaps a little later.

It is noteworthy that media reports suggest the Gulf monarchies, as key players in the East, have discouraged the American administration from attacking Iran, which is weakened not only by the erosion of the ‘Axis of Resistance’ but also by mass protests within the country. This is understandable: the Arab monarchies are assessing the situation quite sensibly, understanding that if Iran is completely destabilized, its internal instability will spill beyond its borders. Tehran could then take radical steps, such as blocking the Strait of Hormuz or destabilizing border areas with Iraq. This could disrupt transportation and logistics networks related to oil supplies, threatening more serious regional consequences,” Ostanin-Golovnya said.

According to the expert, the region may find itself in a situation where there will be no winners.

“While Israel primarily views this as an opportunity to strengthen its position and security in the region, other regional players fear widespread destabilization. It is entirely possible that a situation will emerge in which there will be no winners, and everyone capable of ensuring their own security will be, so to speak, under siege,” Ostanin-Golovnya concluded.